技术方法

应用生命周期旋回理论预测辽河油田石油探明储量增长趋势

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  • 中国石油辽河油田公司
田淑芳,1969 年生,女,高级工程师,现从事油气田开发研究工作。地址:(124010)辽宁省盘锦市辽河油田勘探开发研究院。电话:(0427)7807225。E-mail:tianshf@petrochina.com.cn

网络出版日期: 2010-03-15

Application of life cycle theory to predict increasing trend of proved oil reserves in Liaohe Oilfield

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  • Liaohe Oilfield Company of CNPC, Panjin 124010, China

Online published: 2010-03-15

摘要

翁氏生命旋回适应于对生命总量有限体系的描述和预测,石油与天然气为非再生性矿产资源,能够用翁氏生命周期旋回模型进行描述和预测,运用已探明石油储量与时间的关系进行拟合,进而对辽河油田石油探明储量增长趋势进行预测。结果表明,目前辽河油田勘探程度较高,探明储量已进入缓慢增长阶段,预测今后几年探明储量年增长在3 000×104 t 左右。

本文引用格式

田淑芳,张鸿文 . 应用生命周期旋回理论预测辽河油田石油探明储量增长趋势[J]. 岩性油气藏, 2010 , 22(1) : 98 -100 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-8926.2010.01.018

Abstract

Weng’s Life Cycle Theory is suitable for the description and prediction of the finite system of life amount. Oil and natural gas which are nonrenewable mineral resources can be described and predicted usingWeng’s Life Cycle Theory. Proved oil reserves’ increasing trend is predicted and fitted using relationship between the proved oil reserves and exploration time in Liaohe Oilfield. Results show that the exploration degree in Liaohe Oilfield which has undergone a rapid growth stage is high at present and the increase of proved reserves has gone into a slowgrowth stage. The annual growth of proved reserves is predicted to be about 3 000×104 t in the future several years.

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